Backpack and Courier Bag Manufacturing
Business for Sale Industry Economics
$173,000,000
Revenue
5.15%
Projected CAGR
2003 - 2020
Historical
2020 - 2026
Projection
-1.49%
CAGR
$20,000,000
Profit
Quick Scroll
Summary
Backpack and Courier Bag Manufacturing Import competition has weakened throughout the five years to 2020, creating an opportunity for sector expansion. Imports are estimated to have declined at a 6.0 percent yearly pace to $69.6 million during the five-year timeframe. Wages, for example, have historically been significantly lower in industrial nations such as China.
However, owing to the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic, China’s current industrial slowdown has strengthened the industry’s foreign trading position. Chinese imports have decreased at an average pace of 10.6 percent over the last five years, with a 31.8 percent reduction in 2020 alone.
As a result, the percentage of local demand accounted for by imports has reduced from 38.1 percent in 2015 to a projected 30.1 percent in 2020. Furthermore, rising disposable income has increased consumer demand for highly discretionary industrial items, benefiting industry operators even more. As a result, the average industry profit margin, calculated as profits before interest and taxes, is expected to rise from 8.4 percent of sales in 2015 to 11.8 percent in 2020.
Revenue growth in the industry is predicted to continue during the next five years, through 2025. While discretionary income and retail demand for industry products are predicted to rise further, import competition is predicted to rise as global productivity recovers from the 2020 coronavirus outbreak.
As a result, research predicts that industry sales will grow at an annualized rate of 1.6 percent over the next five years, reaching $187.5 million. Nonetheless, the industry’s steady expansion will make it more desirable to new participants. Over the next five years, the number of industry operators is expected to increase at an annualized rate of 2.0 percent to 105.
Performance
Improving economic conditions, such as higher per capita disposable income, have led to increasing consumer expenditure on discretionary industry items during the next five years. Furthermore, the traditional import growth tendency has reversed over the last five years, as a slowing Chinese manufacturing sector has led to a fall in imports.
Chinese imports fell at an annualized pace of 10.6 percent over the decade, with a 31.8 percent drop in 2020 alone. The sharp drop in Chinese imports in 2020 is due to the coronavirus outbreak, which is affecting total output in China, including the manufacture of industrial items. Imports are expected to shrink at a 6.0 percent yearly pace throughout the timeframe to $69.6 million in 2020.
As a result, imports are expected to account for 30.1 percent of local demand, down from 38.1 percent in 2015. Increased per capita disposable income and lower import penetration have fueled demand for higher-priced industrial backpacks, outdoor bags, and courier bags, improving industry sales over the last five years.
These same factors have driven high international demand for industrial goods. With China reducing its low-cost bag exports and improving global economic conditions rising foreign discretionary incomes, industrial exports are predicted to increase by 2.6 percent year on year to $11.7 million in 2020.
Disposable income, which is predicted to expand at an annualized rate of 2.2 percent over the present term, has stimulated demand in downstream retail outlets, so indirectly stimulating demand for manufacturing. Furthermore, the demographic mix of the consumer market benefits makers of backpacks and courier bags. Over the next five years, the number of adults in the United States is expected to grow at an annualized rate of 0.3 percent.
Individuals aged 20 to 35 are especially enticing to industry operators among these customers because they are more likely to engage in outdoor activities, such as camping and other outdoor sports, and are more aware of brand names. As this cohort joins the labor force and gains discretionary cash, operators will tailor their marketing and advertising to this consumer segment.
Outlook
Revenue for the Backpack and Courier Bag Manufacturing business is predicted to climb during the next five years to 2025. While downstream demand and disposable income are predicted to expand further, sluggish export growth is predicted to limit the industry’s revenue increases. As a result, industry revenue is expected to grow at a 1.6 percent yearly pace to $187.5 million over the next five years.
The trade-weighted index (TWI) evaluates the strength of the US dollar in relation to its trading partners’ currencies. The present period’s significant TWI increase reflected the US dollar’s robust appreciation. While the sector has been able to endure the negative impact of an appreciating currency in terms of international trade competitiveness over the present era, a falling US currency is predicted to make sector products more affordable to overseas customers.
As a result, exports are expected to rise an estimated 1.9 percent to $12.8 million over the next five years, stifling industry growth. With VF Corporation (VF) accounting for an estimated 32.1 percent of backpack and courier bag sales in the United States, the firm has the pricing and purchasing power, as well as a well-established supply chain, to outsource manufacturing and generate larger cost reductions.
Currently, the corporation collaborates with 700 separately contracted production sites across the world. Domestic manufacturers concentrated on inventing and producing high-margin, luxury products during the next five years to sustain their market position. VF has aggressively expanded its brand portfolio, including Kipling, a luxury rucksack and bag brand made completely outside of the United States.
Given its scale and broad proprietary supply network, the corporation can purchase other popular local manufacturers and outsource production to lower-cost nations. As a result, import penetration, which measures the extent to which domestic demand is met by imports, is expected to rise. Backpacks and courier bag import values are predicted to rise at an annualized pace of 1.1 percent to $73.7 million in 2025.
Industry
According to research, industry involvement will climb over the next five years as the business’s ongoing revenue growth attracts new recruits. Over the next five years, the number of firms in the industry is predicted to grow at an annualized rate of 2.0 percent to 105.
Nonetheless, increased competitive pressure from imports will drive failing players to join with larger companies or shutter their doors entirely. Furthermore, corporations are required to keep labor expenses as low as possible in order to maintain profit margins.
The requirement for lightweight and robust designs has propelled product innovation and refinement throughout the last decade. Consumers and businesses are currently focusing on breathable and waterproof textiles. This tendency, according to analysis, will continue to offer possibilities for industry players over the next five years.
R&D spending will most certainly increase as well, bolstering the demand for innovative material research and design. Similarly, the trend toward customization will help drive demand among younger, school-aged clients.
Domestic small manufacturers will continue to compete on the basis of creative designs and functionalities. While not a direct player in the sector, US sportswear firm Under Armour explored the incorporation of technology into apparel in a February 2015 Wall Street Journal article.
This modification follows the addition of rechargeable batteries to VF’s The North Face brand’s high-end backpacks, allowing customers to charge personal gadgets such as phones and tablets. Research predicts that during the next five years, corporations will increasingly create products that include this technology.